Энни Дьюк – лучшие книги

Чемпионка в покере и бизнес-консультант Энни Дьюк рассказывает о том, как принимать лучшие решения в условиях неопределенности.

Мы каждый день принимаем решения в уверенности, что учли все факторы, и рассчитываем на хороший результат. В действительности мы всегда действуем в условиях неопределенности, а результат зависит, в конечном счете, от двух главных факторов: нашего мастерства и удачи. Как в покере. Но эта книга не о карточной игре, а о том, чем полезно мышление по принципу ставок вне игорного стола и как его использовать.

Энни Дьюк — известный игрок в покер — предлагает относиться к решениям как к ставкам. Принцип ставок поможет:
• научиться отделять качество решения от его результата;
• различать удачу и мастерство;
• точнее анализировать результаты;
• шире смотреть на мир;
• принимать более эффективные решения.

Эти навыки пригодятся в бизнесе, личных отношениях и планировании — везде, где нужно осваивать новое и делать выбор.

n Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?

Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?

Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.

By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.

Жизнь человека напрямую зависит от принятых им решений. Сомнения, колебания при выборе лучшего варианта чреваты потерей возможностей, средств, времени и сил. Как принимать рациональные решения быстро и эффективно рассказывает чемпион мира по покеру и бизнес-консультант Энни Дьюк. В своей книге она предлагает 45 упражнений, несколько анкет и диаграмм, которые помогут…

From the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets comes a toolkit for mastering the skill of quitting to achieve greater success

Business leaders, with millions of dollars down the drain, struggle to abandon a new app or product that just isn’t working. Governments, caught in a hopeless conflict, believe that the next tactic will finally be the one that wins the war. And in our own lives, we persist in relationships or careers that no longer serve us. Why? According to Annie Duke, in the face of tough decisions, we’re terrible quitters. And that is significantly holding us back.

In Quit, Duke teaches you how to get good at quitting. Drawing on stories from elite athletes like Mount Everest climbers, founders of leading companies like Stewart Butterfield, the CEO of Slack, and top entertainers like Dave Chappelle, Duke explains why quitting is integral to success, as well as strategies for determining when to hold em, and when to fold em, that will save you time, energy, and money. You’ll learn:
- How the paradox of quitting influences decision making: If you quit on time, you will feel you quit early
- What forces work against good quitting behavior, such as escalation commitment, desire for certainty, and status quo bias
- How to think in expected value in order to make better decisions, as well as other best practices, such as increasing flexibility in goal-setting, establishing “quitting contracts,” anticipating optionality, and conducting premortems and backcasts

Whether you’re facing a make-or-break business decision or life-altering personal choice, mastering the skill of quitting will help you make the best next move.

З нaукoвoї пpaктики Eннi Дюк пoтpaпилa дo пoкepнoї зaли тa 20 poкiв пpиcвятилa цiй гpi. Пpoтe вoнa нe зiйшлa з aкaдeмiчнoгo шляxу, a oпинилacь у нoвiй лaбopaтopiї, дe пoчaлa дocлiджувaти тeopiї уxвaлeння piшeнь.
Aвтopкa нe пoяcнює, як гpaти в пoкep, cпиpaючиcь нa вeзiння й випaдкoвicть. Нaтoмicть poзпoвiдaє, як зa дoпoмoгoю пoкepниx пpийoмiв пpиймaти нaйкpaщi з мoжливиx piшeнь — чи тo зa гpaльним cтoлoм, чи тo нa cудoвoму зaciдaннi, чи тo н